Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.032743 0.038608 0.044697 0.051453 0.058704 0.066218 0.074563
2026-01-18 0.023893 0.032180 0.041323 0.051984 0.063917 0.076729 0.091400
2026-01-25 0.018232 0.027815 0.038972 0.052509 0.068146 0.085356 0.105469
2026-02-01 0.013914 0.024135 0.036673 0.052440 0.071140 0.092135 0.117061
2026-02-08 0.009662 0.019728 0.032869 0.050052 0.070995 0.094972 0.123870
2026-02-15 0.007025 0.016956 0.030716 0.049332 0.072537 0.099518 0.132416
2026-02-22 0.005418 0.015345 0.029850 0.050033 0.075638 0.105764 0.142815
2026-03-01 0.004171 0.014020 0.029196 0.050869 0.078798 0.111997 0.153128
2026-03-08 0.003361 0.013258 0.029228 0.052520 0.082909 0.119318 0.164677
2026-03-15 0.002522 0.012203 0.028703 0.053339 0.085909 0.125255 0.174558
2026-03-22 0.002435 0.012701 0.030530 0.057356 0.092972 0.136113 0.190269
2026-03-29 0.001498 0.010956 0.028719 0.056259 0.093417 0.138870 0.196314
2026-04-05 0.001021 0.010158 0.028419 0.057358 0.096847 0.145478 0.207221
2026-04-12 0.000573 0.009115 0.027612 0.057693 0.099277 0.150878 0.216726
2026-04-19 0.000278 0.008236 0.026977 0.058213 0.101908 0.156501 0.226483
2026-04-26 0.000076 0.007237 0.025991 0.058134 0.103689 0.161026 0.234881
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005582 0.023491 0.055613 0.102068 0.161196 0.237907
2026-05-10 NaN 0.004635 0.022208 0.054853 0.102766 0.164235 0.244391
2026-05-17 NaN 0.004182 0.021905 0.055593 0.105500 0.169846 0.254012
2026-05-24 NaN 0.003804 0.021709 0.056476 0.108414 0.175674 0.263894
2026-05-31 NaN 0.003661 0.022048 0.058218 0.112524 0.183032 0.275663
2026-06-07 NaN 0.003329 0.021867 0.059082 0.115389 0.188785 0.285444
2026-06-14 NaN 0.003772 0.023705 0.063314 0.123012 0.200673 0.302827